Estimate solar PV & wind capture prices, discount factors vs. baseload prices, and annual PPA revenue haircuts due to high renewable penetration.
Simulate solar/wind capture price discounts, negative price exposure & PPA revenue haircuts across EU zones.
| Capture Rate | -15% Baseload | Base Baseload | +15% Baseload |
|---|---|---|---|
| 52% Capture | €38.9 | €45.8 | €52.6 |
| 62% Capture | €46.4 | €54.6 | €62.7 |
| 72% Capture | €53.9 | €63.4 | €72.9 |
Indicative spread benchmarks & capture rate metrics for Germany-Lux (EUR)
Get full access to hourly generation-weighted capture curves, PPA risk models & 3 free AI intelligence reports.
Zero-marginal-cost solar and wind generation pushes expensive gas/coal plants out of the dispatch stack during sunny or windy hours, driving prices down.
Because solar assets produce most electricity when overall market prices are lowest, their generation-weighted capture price is significantly lower than average baseload prices.
Pay-as-Produced PPAs and EEG §51 negative price rules (6-hour zero compensation) directly impact project cash flows and debt service coverage ratios.